Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.189365 0.204823 0.221183 0.239829 0.260538 0.282890 0.308912
2026-01-04 0.164748 0.187162 0.212437 0.243234 0.279998 0.322791 0.376836
2026-01-11 0.147772 0.173750 0.204391 0.243591 0.292975 0.353897 0.435965
2026-01-18 0.133022 0.160493 0.194018 0.238547 0.297073 0.372727 0.480214
2026-01-25 0.120612 0.148551 0.183594 0.231591 0.296935 0.384804 0.515525
2026-02-01 0.111417 0.139710 0.176058 0.227215 0.299100 0.399312 0.554913
2026-02-08 0.103219 0.131429 0.168426 0.221744 0.298776 0.409676 0.588691
2026-02-15 0.096716 0.124881 0.162524 0.217970 0.300188 0.422213 0.626687
2026-02-22 0.093156 0.122029 0.161381 0.220683 0.311073 0.449672 0.691567
2026-03-01 0.088743 0.117677 0.157774 0.219400 0.315604 0.467412 0.742182
2026-03-08 0.084220 0.112883 0.153192 0.216235 0.316780 0.479619 0.784386
2026-03-15 0.079678 0.107801 0.147865 0.211499 0.314942 0.486444 0.817378
2026-03-22 0.077958 0.106811 0.148633 0.216467 0.329660 0.523516 0.914011
2026-03-29 0.075669 0.104868 0.147869 0.218973 0.340545 0.555216 1.005833
2026-04-05 0.073004 0.102207 0.145826 0.219211 0.347480 0.580413 1.088504
2026-04-12 0.069461 0.098030 0.141182 0.214792 0.345757 0.589065 1.136864
2026-04-19 0.065808 0.093514 0.135767 0.208707 0.340491 0.590255 1.168594
2026-04-26 0.062912 0.090041 0.131829 0.204876 0.339017 0.598705 1.218501
2026-05-03 0.060010 0.086432 0.127496 0.200082 0.335335 0.602255 1.257203
2026-05-10 0.057605 0.083507 0.124132 0.196773 0.334193 0.610895 1.310040
2026-05-17 0.056487 0.082577 0.123987 0.199152 0.344211 0.644199 1.432734
2026-05-24 0.054758 0.080589 0.121980 0.198028 0.347185 0.662483 1.518979
2026-05-31 0.052822 0.078188 0.119167 0.195251 0.346593 0.672699 1.584769